2022 Tirreno-Adriatico Stage 1 Preview

Lido di Camaiore 13.9km ITT

Out and back, very reminiscent of a club TT but this one features some of the finest TT riders in the world. 

With just a couple of corners, this TT is all about power. 


Consistent for all. It’ll be sunny and feel nice with temperatures at 11 degrees. There isn’t much wind.


Filippo Ganna – after losing to Bissegger in the UAE Tour, Ganna will be approaching this race with extra motivation. The Italian doesn’t lose many TTs, especially ones that look like this. The route is perfect for him, he can hit numbers that most can only dream of. Taking the stage win and moving into the race lead, on home soil, would mean an awful lot to him.

Remco Evenepoel – he’s fresh from destroying the TT in the Algarve, it really was an incredible display of power. In recent races we’ve seen Remco get involved in the sprint train, the power he’s putting down seems to hurt everyone else in the peloton. This TT doesn’t look perfect for him, he would prefer something a little harder, but he’s shown before that he can win flat TTs. 

Edoardo Affini – came close to winning the opening TT in last year’s Giro, the big Italian has a lot of power. This is a good route for him, he should be challenging for the podium.

Tadej Pogačar – we’ll have to wait and see how he recovers from Strade Bianche. The flat route means he won’t be winning, but he would like a solid top 10 result to put pressure on some of his rivals.

Jonas Vingegaard – his TT performances were outstanding last year; I’m expecting even more from him this year. Despite being small and skinny, the Dane can churn a big gear and does well in all types of TTs. He’ll be hoping to stay close to Pogačar.

Benjamin Thomas – he’s started this season like a house on fire, it’s great to see him doing well for Cofidis. Winning this will be very difficult, but he should be challenging for the podium.

Kasper Asgreen – he was brilliant in Strade Bianche, the legs are clearly good just now. Hopefully he’s recovered well from that effort as this TT is a chance for him to challenge for the stage win.

Prediction Time

Clearly, it’s a two-horse race, I can’t see anyone getting close to Evenepoel or Ganna. I think the route favours the bigger rider, so I’m taking a win for Filippo Ganna.